
Higher palm oil and soy oil imports by India, the world's biggest buyer of vegetable oils, could support Malaysian palm oil prices and U.S. soy oil futures.
Palm oil imports in May surged 87% month-on-month to 600,000 metric tons, the highest since November 2024, according to estimates from dealers.
India imported an average of more than 750,000 tons of palm oil each month during the marketing year that ended in October 2024, said the Solvent Extractors' Association of India, which is set to publish its May import data by mid-June.
Palm oil imports fell sharply from January to April due to its premium over soy oil, which led to lower stock levels in India, said Rajesh Patel, managing partner at GGN Research, an edible oil trader.
"Since palm oil started selling at a discount last month, Indian buyers have gone back to palm oil," Patel said.
India's vegetable oil stocks fell to 1.35 million tons as of May 1, the lowest since July 2020, according to SEA data.
Soy oil imports in May rose 10% month-on-month to 398,000 tons, the highest since January, dealers said. Sunflower oil imports, meanwhile, edged higher by 2% to 184,000 metric tons.
Higher imports of palm oil and soy oil lifted India's total edible oil imports in May by 37% from a month ago to 1.18 million tons, the highest since December, according to dealers' estimates.
Palm oil imports are likely to rise further to 750,000 tons in June and 850,000 tons in July, Sandeep Bajoria, CEO of Sunvin Group, a vegetable oil brokerage.
The recent correction in palm oil prices and reduction in import duty is likely to boost consumption in India, Bajoria said.
India halved the basic import tax on crude edible oils to 10% on Friday to bring down food prices and help the local refining industry.
India buys palm oil mainly from Indonesia and Malaysia, while it imports soy oil and sunflower oil from Argentina, Brazil, Russia and Ukraine.
Nepal's edible oil imports were 132,000 tons in May, up from 87,000 tons in April, GGN Research estimated.
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