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    Donald Trump would lose to Kamala Harris if elections were held today, claims new poll

    Synopsis

    A new poll shows Kamala Harris might beat Trump if elections were held today. While she lost in 2024, many still support her. Trump's falling popularity, especially on the economy, could help her chances.

    Donald Trump would lose to Kamala Harris if elections were held today, claims new pollAP
    A new strength In Numbers/Verasight poll says Kamala Harris would beat Donald Trump in a re-run of the 2024 election. If elections were held today, 47% would vote for Harris, 42% for Trump.

    If people who wouldn't vote were also to be counted, Harris gets 40%, of the popular vote while Trump languishes at 36%. The poll was done between May 1 to 6, with 1,000 adults and a 3.2% margin of error.

    2024 US Election results


    Trump actually won in November 2024, beating Harris in popular vote 50% to 48%. He won big in the electoral college, 312 votes to Harris 226, which ultimately sweeped the results in his favour.

    Before that election, some polls showed Harris leading or tied with Trump.

    Among people who didn't vote in 2024, 36% now support Harris, only 22% support Trump. But 43% of these non-voters say they still wouldn't vote if given a second chance.

    Among people who voted in 2024, Harris and Trump are tied at 43% each.

    Harris lost in 2024, but many still think she could be a strong candidate in 2028.

    She hasn’t said if she’ll run, but some in the Democrat's ranks think she might. Some also say she might run for Governor of California in 2026.

    Supporters say she ran a better campaign than Joe Biden did before he dropped out in 2024. They believe she helped close the gap against Trump despite the campaign already I'm disarray due to Biden's perceived ill health.

    But others in the party are vying for fresh faces and new leaders instead of Harris. Some also say Harris hurt her popularity by supporting moderate Republicans like Liz Cheney.

    Trump's popularity dropped after he launched "Liberation Day" tariffs on April 2. The tariffs caused stock markets to crash, the worst since June 2020. Since then, many voters don't trust Trump on the economy.

    In the same poll, more people didn't like how Trump is handling the economy.

    Only 38% said they approve, while 58% don’t, that's a -17 score. On prices and inflation, it's even worse, only 31% approve and 63% don't, giving him a -32 score.

    Also, 53% of people said the country's economy got worse in the past year. Just 25% think it got better.

    The poll shows Trump is unpopular on all issues, except border/immigration.

    Even on immigration, he's barely ahead, 49% disapprove, 47% approve. This matches results from a Fox News poll too.

    Trump got flak for a controversial deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia from Maryland. The DOJ called it an "administrative error." The Trump admin said Garcia was part of the MS-13 gang, now labeled a terrorist group. But his family and lawyers deny any gang link.

    In the poll, half the people were told about Garcia's story. Among those, support for deporting all undocumented immigrants dropped to 39%. 43% were against mass deportation.

    When asked about people with court protections like Garcia, 49% were against deporting them, 29% supported deporting them, 22% were unsure, 45% said wrongly deported immigrants should be allowed to return, 35% said they should stay abroad.

    This negative view of Trump might help Kamala Harris if she runs again in 2028. She has not confirmed if she's running yet. But polls show she's the front-runner right now.

    Some other polls say Kamala Harris isn't doing as well. In an April poll by Data for Progress, only 18% of people said they'd vote for her in the Democratic primary.

    Pete Buttigieg got 14%, AOC and Cory Booker got 12% each, Newsom got 8%, Josh Shapiro got 5%, and Tim Walz, Gretchen Whitmer, and J.B. Pritzker each got 4%.

    Other recent polls show different numbers. One by Echelon Insights in April showed Harris at 28%. A YouGov poll from March showed her at 25%. And a Survey USA poll from February had her at 37%.

    Here's what some politicians are saying about Kamala Harris, Senator John Hickenlooper from Colorado told The Hill that Harris “will add value to the national conversation.”
    Many Democrats will have different opinions on what the party should focus on next, he added.

    FAQs


    Q1. Will Kamala Harris run for next president?
    She has not said yet, but many think she might.

    Q2. Why are people unhappy with Trump?
    Most don't like how he's handling the economy and prices.


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