US DOLLAR TREND
Dollar mired in US economic weakness and trade limbo
The dollar faced a weekly loss due to signs of U.S. economic fragility and stalled trade negotiations. Markets awaited the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, crucial after weak economic data highlighted the impact of tariffs.
There’s no such thing as EMs any more; Morgan Stanley picks strongest stories including India: Jonathan Garner
Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner highlights India's robust economic resurgence, driven by strong GDP growth and easing monetary policies. He emphasizes India's distinct position among emerging markets, fueled by superior earnings growth and increasing weight in global equity indices. Garner notes that global fund managers are compelled to allocate towards India, recognizing it as a key global equity destination.
RIL, Eternal drive Sensex 400 points higher, Nifty above 24,700
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, traded higher, mirroring gains in Asian markets. Positive sentiment was fueled by advancements in sectors like pharma, oil & gas, and auto. Investors are awaiting the RBI's policy decision, widely expected to include a rate cut. Globally, markets are reacting to fluctuating oil prices and evolving trade dynamics.
Nippon India Taiwan Equity Fund tops return chart with 22% in May. Can the momentum sustain?
Nippon India Taiwan Equity Fund topped equity fund returns in May with a 21.69% gain, driven by a surge in Taiwanese tech stocks. Experts highlight that while global funds may offer short-term gains, Indian markets offer better long-term prospects. Investors are advised to focus on fundamentals and risk appetite when considering international exposure.
Asian stocks cautious ahead of Japan bond auction
Asian shares displayed caution as weak US economic data bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Treasury yields stabilized after a rally, while the dollar weakened. Markets are closely watching Japan's super-long-term bond auction amid concerns about demand. US economic activity has slowed, raising fears about equity market valuations.
Market Wrap: D-Street breaks 3-day losing run amid RBI rate cut hopes; Sensex adds 261 pts, Nifty above 24,600
Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, snapped a three-day losing streak to end higher on Wednesday, tracking gains in global markets and buoyed by investor optimism over a potential policy easing by the Reserve Bank of India in its upcoming meeting on Friday.
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Stable macro fundamentals to keep India ahead of most emerging market peers: Claudio Irigoyen
BofA Global Research's Claudio Irigoyen suggests the US dollar will likely remain soft without a major collapse. Rising US treasury yields reflect recalibrated expectations due to fiscal and policy uncertainties, impacting consumer and business sentiment. Portfolio rebalancing by global investors, shifting away from US assets, further contributes to the dollar's struggle.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Dollar strength, geopolitics & yields – the triple threat roiling Indian markets: Anirudh Garg
Amid market volatility fueled by global factors like dollar strength and geopolitical tensions, Anirudh Garg of INVasset PMS offers insights on navigating Dalal Street. He suggests tactical portfolio shifts, highlighting opportunities in sectors like textiles, financials, and defence. Garg emphasizes a data-driven approach to managing risk and uncovering long-term value in a dynamic market.
RBI may go for three more rate cuts if global trade slowdown impacts growth severely: Chetan Ahya
Morgan Stanley's Chetan Ahya anticipates further disinflation in India and the region due to declining oil prices and a strengthening rupee, enabling the Reserve Bank of India to implement more significant rate cuts. India and Australia are seen as relatively insulated from global shocks, with India benefiting from strong domestic demand and resilient service exports.
US Stock market today: Dow Jones up 0.22%, S&P 500 rises 0.36%, Nasdaq surges 0.68% as Nvidia powers tech rally, Dollar General soars 12%, and OECD cuts U.S. growth forecast amid trade war tensions
US Stock market today showed mixed moves as the Nasdaq Composite jumped, led by strong gains in tech stocks like Nvidia, while the Dow Jones wavered. The OECD cut its U.S. growth outlook, warning of trade policy risks. Investors are watching rising tariff impacts, weak factory data, and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. Retailer Dollar General soared after raising its forecast. Global bond yields dipped, and Constellation Energy rose on a nuclear deal with Meta. With uncertainty around global growth and U.S. spending plans, markets are bracing for a bumpy ride. Here's everything you need to know in today’s full market recap.
Gold price prediction: Why did gold fall after hitting a 4-week high and could it rebound soon amid U.S. dollar strength, trade tensions, and key economic data?
Gold prices retreat after briefly hitting a four-week high on June 3, as a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking pressure the market. Spot gold dropped 0.7% to $3,356.75 an ounce, while U.S. futures slipped 0.5%. Investors are closely watching trade tensions between President Trump and China’s Xi Jinping, along with upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data and Federal Reserve speeches. Global economic slowdown warnings from the OECD also add to uncertainty. With ongoing tariff talks and dollar movement, the gold market remains volatile. Here's a full breakdown of what’s moving the gold market this week.
Commodity Radar: What’s driving copper’s drop and how to trade it
copper price today: As of 2 PM, June copper contracts on the MCX were trading at ₹863.70, marking a decline of ₹4.15 or 0.48%. Meanwhile, copper futures on the COMEX stood at $4.74 per pound, down $0.11 or 2.26%.
Weaker dollar and emerging market flows support a bullish case for India: Matt Orton
Companies are managing inventories amidst tariff uncertainties, with potential consumer impact and margin compression. A weaker dollar benefits emerging markets like India, supported by stable commodity prices. ICICI Bank remains a compelling investment due to its growth and private banking sector, while private banks are generally favored over state-owned enterprises for efficiency and growth prospects.
US yields are America’s headache, but DXY may be world’s concern: Kotak Equities
Kotak Institutional Equities suggests rising US bond yields reflect domestic fiscal concerns rather than growth optimism. A weakening US dollar, however, poses broader global risks, potentially reshaping investment strategies and capital flows. While US yields may be a localized issue, a declining dollar index could trigger asset repricing and influence financial stability worldwide, but India seems insulated.
GIFT Nifty up 100 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
Indian stock markets experienced a downturn on Monday. Geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine impacted market sentiment. Nifty recovered slightly to close near flat. Analysts anticipate continued market consolidation. Strong domestic economic factors and potential RBI rate cuts may limit further declines. Rupee strengthened against the US dollar. FIIs were net sellers, while DIIs were net buyers.
Gold price prediction: will gold surge further as Russia-Ukraine conflict intensifies and US-China trade war heats up, driving safe-haven demand ahead of key US jobs data?
Gold prices surge as rising global tensions drive investors toward safe-haven assets. With Russia-Ukraine conflict intensifying and the U.S.-China trade war heating up again, gold jumped over 2% to $3,353.69 an ounce. President Donald Trump's new tariffs and a weakening U.S. dollar added to the bullish momentum. As markets brace for key U.S. jobs data, analysts say gold remains a strong hedge against inflation. With geopolitical risks climbing and currencies shifting, this story breaks down exactly why gold is back in the spotlight—and what it could mean next. Here's what you need to know now about the gold price surge.
US life insurers shifted $800 billion offshore from 2019 to 2024, Moody's says
U.S. life insurers have significantly increased their investments in private credit, shifting nearly $800 billion in reserves offshore between 2019 and 2024. This move, driven by low interest rates and competition, involves partnerships with private equity firms and relocating assets to Bermuda and the Cayman Islands.
Sensex falls 700 points, Nifty below 24,600 on US-China trade tensions; RIL, bank stocks drag
Indian equity markets traded lower, influenced by global market cues and U.S.-China trade concerns, with the Sensex and Nifty50 declining. Despite a strong 7.4% GDP growth in the January-March quarter, negative cues from global markets weighed on investor sentiment. Experts suggest that domestic tailwinds and potential rate cuts could support the market.
FIIs remain net buyers in May, infuse Rs 18,082 crore into Indian equities
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have shown renewed confidence in Indian equities, becoming net buyers for the second consecutive month. May saw a net inflow of Rs 18,082 crore, following April's Rs 4,243 crore. This reversal follows heavy selling earlier in 2025, driven by global factors like a strong dollar. Improved macroeconomic indicators, slowing growth in the U.S.
Why is gold slipping sharply as the dollar surges ahead of the all-important US inflation report — what critical risks and opportunities should investors brace for in 2025?
Gold falls as the US dollar strengthens ahead of key US inflation data. Investors are cautious, watching the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index due today, which could shape the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates. Gold prices slipped nearly 2% this week, pressured by a stronger dollar that makes gold costlier for buyers. With inflation expected to cool slightly and rate cuts anticipated later this year, market nerves remain high. Other precious metals like silver and platinum also dropped. Trade tensions from recent tariff rulings add to uncertainty, making this a crucial moment for gold investors.
TACO Trump: Jimmy Kimmel brutally trolls President on his show, asks 'How does it feel?'
Wall Street insiders have coined the term 'TACO Trade' to describe President Trump's pattern of announcing aggressive tariffs and then reversing or delaying them. TACO Trump memes have taken over the internet by storm. Jimmy Kimmel mocked President on his late night show and says Trump doesn’t like the nickname at all.
Sensex falls 300 pts, Nifty below 24,750 amid caution ahead of GDP data
Indian equity markets traded with mixed signals on Friday, as positive institutional inflows and economic optimism were tempered by anticipation for the upcoming GDP data. The Sensex experienced a slight dip, while the Nifty50 showed marginal gains. FPIs continue their buying spree, potentially reaching a high for May, with Adani Ports and Nestle India leading gainers.
High-yielding bonds in EM may beat peers as treasuries decline
Bloomberg's analysis suggests that riskier emerging-market bonds, particularly from India, Indonesia, Brazil, and South Africa, are outperforming due to the dollar's decline offsetting rising Treasury yields. Goldman Sachs strategists note that a weaker dollar reduces the impact of higher US yields on EM rates, benefiting higher-yielding bonds.
Asian stocks set for weak start as US gains fade
US equity-index futures slipped 0.2% after the S&P 500 Index trimmed most of an advance that earlier approached 1%. Contracts for Australia, Japan and Hong Kong pointed to a loss. The dollar was steady in early trading Friday after a gauge of the currency’s strength weakened 0.4%.
Gold price today in the U.S. dips sharply—Is this an economic earthquake, which Trump tariff ruling triggered it, and what should investors watch out for next?
Gold prices today have dropped below $3,270 per ounce as U.S. economic data and a federal court ruling shake investor confidence. With the dollar gaining strength and Q1 GDP showing a 0.2% contraction, gold's safe-haven appeal is fading. Still, gold ETFs like GLD and IAU are seeing slight gains, signaling mixed market sentiment. Analysts suggest support around $3,250, with resistance near $3,300. Could this be a smart time to buy?
Rupee declines 7 paise to 85.45 against US dollar in early trade
The rupee weakened to 85.45 against the US dollar due to a stronger American currency following a court decision on tariffs and rising crude oil prices. Disappointing industrial output data also contributed to the rupee's decline. However, foreign fund inflows and positive domestic equity market trends limited the fall, with the Sensex and Nifty both showing gains.
GIFT Nifty up 60 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
Domestic markets experienced minor losses for the second day, with analysts anticipating a consolidation phase and selective buying. The Nifty is fluctuating between 24450 and 25100, while India VIX decreased. FIIs and DIIs were net buyers, and the rupee remained flat amid volatile trading and rising crude oil prices. FIIs increased their net short positions in the futures market.
Why are central banks choosing gold over Bitcoin? Peter Schiff revives debate amid record bullion buying
Economist Peter Schiff reignites the gold vs. Bitcoin debate, questioning why central banks continue to record gold purchases over crypto. With over 1,000 metric tons of gold being bought annually, Schiff argues that gold’s stability and central bank trust underscore its dominance as a reserve asset amid global dollar scepticism, unlike Bitcoin, which remains volatile and unadopted institutionally.
GIFT Nifty down 10 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
Indian equities continued their upward trend, fueled by positive global cues as the US delayed tariffs on the EU. Analysts anticipate further gains due to strong domestic macros and supportive global market trends. The rupee strengthened, and FIIs reduced their net short positions in the futures market, contributing to the overall positive sentiment.
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