US DOLLAR TREND
China, Hong Kong stocks end lower as Israeli strikes on Iran weigh on risk assets
Mainland China and Hong Kong stocks slipped on Friday, mirroring losses across regional markets, as investors rushed toward safe-haven assets in response to Israeli strikes on Iran that escalated tensions in the Middle East.
GIFT Nifty down 200 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
Indian equities experienced a significant decline on Thursday, influenced by geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade deal. Despite the fall, technical indicators suggest a potentially strong underlying trend, with analysts anticipating market consolidation. Foreign investors were net sellers, while domestic institutional investors were net buyers, and the rupee saw a slight appreciation against the US dollar.
Explained: Why gold beat Euro to become the world's second-largest reserve asset
Gold has overtaken the euro as the second-largest global reserve asset, driven by record central bank buying amid geopolitical tensions. Despite recent price volatility, its role as a hedge against uncertainty and sanctions keeps demand elevated.
What will drive CPI lower in FY26? Rahul Bajoria explains
BofA's Rahul Bajoria anticipates India's headline inflation around 3%, with core inflation exceeding it at 4.2%. Improved supply and stable perishable prices are curbing food inflation, offering the RBI policy flexibility and boosting consumer spending. Bajoria expects the RBI's FY26 inflation target to be 3.7%, aligning with their forecast. While monitoring monsoon impacts, they foresee controlled food inflation.
Top Wall Street bank pitches options play to ride potential Indian rupee rally to 83
Goldman Sachs' sales and trading desk is recommending an options play on the Indian rupee that will pay off if the South Asian currency rallies to 83 per U.S. dollar over the next nine months.
Japan's Nikkei falls as US stock futures decline, firmer yen weighs
Japan's Nikkei share average fell on Thursday as a stronger yen prompted a sell-off of exporters, while declines in U.S. stock futures hurt sentiment.
IT stocks drag Sensex 100 pts lower, Nifty below 25,100
Indian markets traded cautiously amid global uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-China trade situation. While some sectors like pharma and financials saw gains, IT stocks faced pressure due to trade truce concerns. Experts suggest the market may remain range-bound due to a lack of positive triggers and escalating geopolitical tensions, including rising crude oil prices and potential tariff actions.
GIFT Nifty down 30 points; here's the trading setup for today's session
Indian stock markets closed slightly up on Wednesday. Positive news regarding US-China trade and the India-EU FTA may influence market sentiment. Analysts suggest buying on dips, with support at 24,850. India VIX decreased, indicating reduced market fear. FIIs net sold shares, while DIIs were net buyers. The Rupee strengthened against the US dollar.
Gold price prediction: Will gold hit $3,500 as China–U.S. trade tension, inflation fears, and central bank buying drive demand higher?
Gold prices rise amid growing uncertainty over the new China-U.S. trade agreement and anticipation of fresh U.S. inflation data. On Wednesday, spot gold climbed to $3,329.70/oz, supported by a weaker dollar and strong demand from China, which added to its gold reserves for the seventh month in a row. Investors are watching today’s CPI inflation release, with fears that sticky inflation and Trump’s tariffs may push prices even higher. Market experts warn that while a trade breakthrough could lower gold’s value, any delay or breakdown may fuel a rally toward $3,400.
Market Wrap: D-Street ends higher on US trade talk optimism; Sensex adds 123 pts, Nifty above 25,100
Indian benchmark equity indices Sensex and Nifty ended in the green on Wednesday, lifted by gains in IT and oil & gas stocks, as positive cues from Asian markets and progress in trade talks between the U.S. and key partners like India and China boosted investor sentiment.
Nifty target 26,300 through summer; 3 sectors to lead rotation: Laurence Balanco
CLSA's Technical Analyst Laurence Balanco forecasts a bullish outlook for the Nifty, projecting new highs at 26,300 by summer, followed by consolidation and a potential rise to 37,000. He notes a rotation into lagging sectors like smallcaps, broadening market participation. While financials remain key, real estate and PSUs are expected to contribute to sector rotation.
Sensex jumps over 100 points, Nifty tops 25,100; auto stocks lead gainers
Stock Market Today: Indian benchmark equity indices saw a slight increase at the opening on Wednesday, mirroring positive trends in Asian markets. This optimism stems from encouraging developments in trade discussions between the US and key partners, including India and China. The Sensex and Nifty50 both experienced marginal gains, influenced by advancements in both international and bilateral trade negotiations.
CreditAccess Grameen shares rally over 4% after securing $100 million syndicated loan from Asian banks
CreditAccess Grameen has secured a $100 million syndicated loan from a consortium of Asian banks, led by Standard Chartered. The dual-currency facility—denominated in yen and dollars—will support eligible social projects. The microfinance-focused NBFC had initially launched the loan at $70 million in November 2024 before upsizing it due to strong demand.
Gold rises on lower dollar, US-China trade uncertainty
Gold prices saw an increase on Wednesday. This rise is attributed to a weaker dollar and doubts surrounding the final United States-China trade deal. Markets are keenly awaiting United States inflation data for further guidance. United States and Chinese officials have agreed on a framework to resolve trade issues. The World Bank has lowered its global growth forecast.
Earnings outlook to get better in 4-6 months stage set for better DII & FII flows: Karthik Kumar
Karthik Kumar of Axis Mutual Funds says the trickle-down effect of the rate cuts we will see a few months down the line. The earning outlook would improve in four to six months and at that time the market will start trending upwards. The macros for FIIs – in terms of expected policy path for interest rates in the US, the dollar weakness -- to some extent are positive from a flow perspective.
US stock market future today: Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq dip ahead of critical US-China trade talks and key inflation data—Palantir, Tesla, and airlines lead rally with full list of top gainers and losers
US stock market future today show Wall Street futures trading cautiously ahead of key US-China trade talks in London and important inflation data due later this week. Dow futures are up 40 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are slightly down. Investors are watching closely as President Trump expresses optimism about the resumed talks, which follow a pause after the Geneva round. Friday’s strong jobs report lifted the S&P 500 past 6,000 and pushed the Dow up over 400 points. Meanwhile, gold prices have dipped and the US dollar is strengthening. Stay tuned for all the latest stock market updates.
Bank, auto stocks drive Sensex over 400 pts higher, Nifty tops 25,100
Stock Market Today: Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty traded higher for the fourth consecutive session, fueled by strong U.S. jobs data and progress in India-U.S. trade talks. The Reserve Bank of India's policy backing further boosted market sentiment. Positive global cues, particularly from Wall Street, also contributed to the optimistic start.
Dollar mired in US economic weakness and trade limbo
The dollar faced a weekly loss due to signs of U.S. economic fragility and stalled trade negotiations. Markets awaited the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, crucial after weak economic data highlighted the impact of tariffs.
Stable macro fundamentals to keep India ahead of most emerging market peers: Claudio Irigoyen
BofA Global Research's Claudio Irigoyen suggests the US dollar will likely remain soft without a major collapse. Rising US treasury yields reflect recalibrated expectations due to fiscal and policy uncertainties, impacting consumer and business sentiment. Portfolio rebalancing by global investors, shifting away from US assets, further contributes to the dollar's struggle.
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